Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.116174 0.129637 0.143414 0.158528 0.174603 0.191152 0.209439
2024-10-13 0.099831 0.118120 0.137487 0.159398 0.183376 0.208706 0.237371
2024-10-20 0.087065 0.108606 0.132115 0.159422 0.190018 0.223012 0.261053
2024-10-27 0.075875 0.099656 0.126372 0.158168 0.194558 0.234518 0.281335
2024-11-03 0.068039 0.093789 0.123498 0.159633 0.201761 0.248742 0.304527
2024-11-10 0.062640 0.090293 0.122978 0.163507 0.211519 0.265769 0.330909
2024-11-17 0.055909 0.084591 0.119379 0.163387 0.216374 0.277036 0.350682
2024-11-24 0.051865 0.081914 0.119187 0.167147 0.225679 0.293413 0.376383
2024-12-01 0.047123 0.077935 0.117074 0.168327 0.231740 0.305915 0.397579
2024-12-08 0.042263 0.073399 0.113940 0.167984 0.235773 0.315908 0.415789
2024-12-15 0.038454 0.069988 0.112017 0.168970 0.241297 0.327605 0.435996
2024-12-22 0.034367 0.065839 0.108850 0.168147 0.244417 0.336308 0.452590
2024-12-29 0.031907 0.063968 0.108752 0.171404 0.252854 0.351767 0.477720
2025-01-05 0.028835 0.060906 0.106822 0.172103 0.257964 0.363122 0.497920
2025-01-12 0.025807 0.057631 0.104385 0.171966 0.261892 0.372965 0.516279
2025-01-19 0.022709 0.053939 0.101123 0.170526 0.264004 0.380471 0.531746
2025-01-26 0.020689 0.051841 0.100039 0.171967 0.269808 0.392567 0.552868
2025-02-02 0.019490 0.051044 0.100814 0.175952 0.278955 0.408899 0.579282
2025-02-09 0.017396 0.048439 0.098707 0.175769 0.282496 0.418098 0.596849
2025-02-16 0.016401 0.047756 0.099491 0.179661 0.291480 0.434246 0.623127
2025-02-23 0.014912 0.045975 0.098454 0.180861 0.296795 0.445690 0.643544
2025-03-02 0.013242 0.043641 0.096398 0.180477 0.299890 0.454240 0.660319
2025-03-09 0.011982 0.041990 0.095344 0.181489 0.304845 0.465177 0.680111